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Although Mortality is a crude indicator and we expect
to be using a range of more sensitive data in future editions on
our site , we are placing this data here because it is already available
and be compared nationally.
Early mortality after cardiac surgery is defined as those patients
who die within 30 days of operation. All patients who are discharged
home after successful surgery are reviewed and closely followed.
Any patients dying outside hospital within this period are also
included in our mortality figures.
The society of Cardiothoracic Surgeons of Great Britain & Ireland
collects mortality data from all Paediatric Cardiac Units in the
U.K. From this data, it is possible to compare our results with
the national average in terms of overall mortality, and mortality
for broad age ranges and diagnostic sub-groups.
It is essential when assessing an individual Unit's overall performance
compared with the national average, to consider the complexity of
procedures performed in a particular unit and also the age of patients
undergoing surgery. Some procedures are of great complexity and
innately of a higher risk than less complicated operations. This
so-called "case mix" can give an incorrect impression
of a units performance where a large number of high-risk patients
are treated. This also applies to the number of neonates and infants
operated on, where again mortality is higher because of small size
and complex cardiac abnormalities requiring surgery in this population.
Table 1,
Table 2 and Table 3
show the mortality data for our unit for the past 3 years broken
down into broad age ranges which can then be directly compared to
the data published by the Association of Cardiothoracic Surgeons
of Great Britain (ACTS) & Ireland for that particular year.
It is gratifying that for each year not only our overall mortality,
but also the mortality in infants, has been consistently lower than
the national average.
It is immediately apparent that by dividing the population into
smaller groups according to surgical procedure can be very misleading
if the number of patients are very small. In the year 1997/1998
only one patient underwent operation in the group of closed heart
procedures over 16 years of age. This patient did not survive giving
mortality of 100% for the group that year. In the following year
there were no deaths in 5 patients undergoing operation in this
age group giving 0% mortality for those years. We believe that it
would be more appropriate to report this data as cumulative results
over a long period with statistical confidence limits to assess
the significance of results. Unfortunately there are no comparative
National published data to be able to make meaningful comparisons
in this way at present.

In analysing this data meaningfully it is also important to appreciate
the concept of "case mix" as mentioned above. Not all
operations have the same risk and indeed the risk of not surviving
an operation can vary from less than 1% to over 50%. The balance
between the number of high risk and low risk procedures operated
on can therefore have a big effect on the overall mortality of a
centre. This has to be taken into account when comparing data between
centres and also comparing mortality results with the national average
which obviously will be skewed by those centres not performing this
procedure.
This point is well illustrated if we consider the effect of a single
operation - the First Stage Norwood procedure for hypoplastic left
heart syndrome - on the surgical results of a centre. Only 3-4 other
centres in the U.K perform this inherently high risk procedure.
The majority of centres performing paediatric cardiac surgery do
not have a Norwood program and it is a valid argument that, between-centre
comparison can only be realistic, if this procedure is not included
in the calculation of the institutional mortality
To illustrate this point the following graph shows results both
including and excluding the Norwood procedure. In 1997/1998 and
1999/2000 the mortality is much lower excluding this high risk group.
In 1998/1999 there was no mortality in our institution for the Norwood
procedure and therefore the overall annual mortality is increased
slightly excluding these patients.

Table 4 shows a breakdown
of our results for 11 major diagnostic groups where there is U.K
national data from the registry to allow comparison for 1997/1998.
The data is further sub-divided according to 3 broad age bands of
under 1 year, between 1-15 years and over 16 years. In 1998-1999
the number of diagnostic sub-groups where U.K data was available
increased to 13.
Table 5 & Table
6 show this data for 1998-1999 & 1999-2000 compared with
the national figures for 1998-1999 (The most recent National figures
available).
This data is illustrated graphically in the following graphs. As
discussed above comparison of mortality where numbers of patients
operated on each year are small, is of limited validity, for these
groups we need to examine results over a longer period where total
experience is accumulated and accurate statistical assessment can
be made compared to the U.K data. The data collected by ACTS does
not exist in a format where these comparisons can be made currently.



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